Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.037833 0.041099 0.044379 0.047915 0.051613 0.055360 0.059438
2025-12-07 0.032977 0.037870 0.042938 0.048558 0.054591 0.060854 0.067825
2025-12-14 0.028957 0.034997 0.041429 0.048738 0.056760 0.065251 0.074871
2025-12-21 0.026423 0.033413 0.041039 0.049883 0.059768 0.070394 0.082600
2025-12-28 0.023120 0.030654 0.039081 0.049056 0.060401 0.072778 0.087180
2026-01-04 0.020945 0.028987 0.038184 0.049264 0.062054 0.076178 0.092785
2026-01-11 0.019364 0.027877 0.037808 0.049960 0.064168 0.080020 0.098823
2026-01-18 0.017893 0.026777 0.037343 0.050465 0.065988 0.083473 0.104376
2026-01-25 0.015493 0.024354 0.035150 0.048800 0.065178 0.083831 0.106334
2026-02-01 0.013901 0.022846 0.033979 0.048275 0.065633 0.085586 0.109839
2026-02-08 0.012628 0.021663 0.033139 0.048088 0.066438 0.087706 0.113730
2026-02-15 0.012133 0.021486 0.033545 0.049415 0.069045 0.091928 0.120057
2026-02-22 0.011533 0.021153 0.033757 0.050528 0.071441 0.095967 0.126261
2026-03-01 0.010797 0.020581 0.033628 0.051194 0.073283 0.099354 0.131714
2026-03-08 0.009937 0.019775 0.033149 0.051380 0.074515 0.102000 0.136290
2026-03-15 0.009509 0.019572 0.033455 0.052563 0.076973 0.106114 0.142610
2026-03-22 0.008412 0.018284 0.032229 0.051709 0.076853 0.107094 0.145184
2026-03-29 0.007758 0.017630 0.031841 0.051925 0.078054 0.109659 0.149637
2026-04-05 0.007314 0.017274 0.031847 0.052643 0.079878 0.112974 0.154987
2026-04-12 0.006842 0.016840 0.031718 0.053163 0.081439 0.115961 0.159939
2026-04-19 0.005781 0.015329 0.029972 0.051446 0.080086 0.115330 0.160495
2026-04-26 0.005126 0.014456 0.029114 0.050904 0.080221 0.116516 0.163234
2026-05-03 0.004612 0.013787 0.028528 0.050711 0.080792 0.118229 0.166607